Silver investment morning post: changing situation in the US and Iraq! Market sentiment is volatile.

Spot silver traded at $18.010 an ounce in Asia. Silver is currently following gold to remain under moderate pressure, temporarily above the $18 mark.

Recent market sentiment is mainly dominated by geopolitical risks. In addition to the need to keep an eye on the geopolitical situation in the Middle East this week, china-us trade will also usher in the signing of the first phase of trade and economic agreement. In addition, the us-DPRK relationship is also an important risk to be concerned about this week.

On Thursday, the secretary-general of the Iraqi militia, the justice league, said he would respond to muhandiz’s death with an “earthquake scale” similar to Iran’s response to Suleiman. So this week, in addition to watching out for continued deterioration in the US and Iran, watch out for “seismic” retaliation from Iraq.

Us national security adviser Brian o ‘Brien said today that sanctions and protests were “suffocating” Iran and would force them to negotiate. Actually, I don’t care if they agree to negotiate; Don’t kill protesters without nuclear weapons.

US President Donald Trump on Saturday told Iranian protesters he stood with them and warned Tehran: “the world is watching.”

Aside from the Middle East, this week will be a critical time for the signing of the first phase of the US.-china trade agreement. Current optimism about us-china trade is also weighing on gold prices. The big trade news this week will be the first phase of a trade deal that the United States and China are likely to sign on Wednesday.

On us-north Korea relations, according to the news website Axios, the US is said to have approached North Korea to restart diplomatic talks that stalled last October.

Robert O ‘Brien, the White House national security adviser, told Axios that Washington wanted to get talks with Pyongyang “back on track” and implement north Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s “commitment” to the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula. The two sides have made little progress in talks to dismantle North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs.

Technical analysis:

The dollar

On the daily chart, the dollar index settled in a tight range at a high, with the MACD red momentum column expanding slightly, and the KDJ random index continued to move higher, indicating stronger rally momentum for the dollar, which could be followed by another rally.

On the 4-hour chart, the US dollar index temporarily settled in a narrow range, with the MACD green kinetic energy column unchanged and the KDJ random index continuing to come under pressure, indicating that the US dollar may continue to settle in a narrow range in the short term.

silver

On the daily chart, silver fell back from the highs, the MACD red momentum column narrowed slightly, and the KDJ random index continued to move lower, indicating that the dollar’s downward momentum remains and that incoming stocks continue to fall.

On the 4-hour chart, silver prices continue to show a mild retracement, MACD red momentum column unchanged, KDJ random index turned lower, indicating that the short-term silver expected to continue to retracement pressure.

Fundamentals favorable factors:

Us national security adviser Brian o ‘Brien said today that sanctions and protests were “suffocating” Iran and would force them to negotiate, US President Donald Trump said on Monday. Actually, I don’t care if they agree to negotiate; Don’t kill protesters without nuclear weapons.

2. According to CCTV news, on January 12, local time, the Iraqi people’s mobilization committee confirmed that the commander of the “Karbala brigade” of the people’s mobilization was assassinated in Baghdad. Saadi, who was traveling with two guards in Sadr city, north of Baghdad, was killed by unknown gunmen on the evening of November 11. The motive for the assassination remains unclear.

The British foreign secretary, Dominic Raab, confirmed on Sunday that the British ambassador to Iran, Rob Macaire, was briefly detained in Tehran on Sunday. He was detained for about an hour before being released, the daily mail reported.

US President Donald Trump told Iranian protesters he stood with them and warned Tehran that “the world is watching” in a message on Twitter in Farsi and English on Saturday.

Fundamental negative factors:

1. According to fox news on Monday (January 13), U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Munchin said china-u.s. trade talks will move to phase two.

2. White House national security adviser Robert O ‘Brien told Axios on Monday that Washington wants to get talks with Pyongyang “back on track” and implement north Korean leader Kim Jong-un’s “commitment” to the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula.

At the invitation of the us side, Liu he, a member of the political bureau of the communist party of China central committee, vice-premier of the state council and Chinese leader of the comprehensive economic dialogue, will lead a delegation to Washington from January 13 to 15 to sign the first phase of the economic and trade agreement with the US side, said Gao Feng, spokesman of the ministry of commerce, at a regular briefing on the afternoon of September 9. The two teams are in close communication on specific arrangements for the signing of the agreement.

4. The head of Iran’s civil aviation organization said it was an “illogical rumor” that the Ukrainian airliner could not have been hit by a missile.

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